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10/31/2024
The Disenchanted Base
Today’s GOP bears little resemblance to the party once led by George W. Bush, with its focus on compassionate conservatism, institutional integrity, and global leadership. Instead, as this recent focus group with Nikki Haley supporters reveals, the Republican Party has taken on a new identity, increasingly shaped by Donald Trump’s confrontational style and polarizing rhetoric.
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10/30/2024
On This Day in 2016: Presidential Polls and the Forecast of an Election Upset
On this day in late October 2016, presidential polling presented an America seemingly poised to elect its first female president, with Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in national polls. Just over a week from Election Day, many forecasters predicted a Clinton victory, yet the ground was subtly shifting in ways that few pollsters fully captured.
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10/30/2024
Judge Luttig’s Call to Conservatives: A Plea for Principle
Judge Luttig’s contribution to conservatism in the 21st century, then, is not only as a jurist or as a commentator but as a steward of America’s foundational principles. His recent opinion piece crystallizes his commitment to a conservatism that upholds the rule of law and respects the institutions that enable self-governance.
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10/29/2024
The High Cost of Disrespect
For Donald Trump, the allure of divisive rhetoric has always been its potential to galvanize his base. But in the case of Pennsylvania’s Puerto Ricans, this playbook of exclusion is not only ethically deficient; it is electorally suicidal.
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10/28/2024
Rallying at the Garden
Trump’s rhetoric about an “occupied” country is emblematic of a desire to redefine who “belongs” and who does not. This is a perspective that paints some citizens as more worthy of rights and protection than others, hinging dangerously on nativist impulses that have, throughout history, proved destructive.
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10/25/2024
Trump’s Public Rebuke of Early Voting Contradicts His Campaign’s Strategy
The numbers are striking. In Pennsylvania, a state with more than 9 million registered voters, 11.5% have already returned ballots, with Democrats casting roughly twice as many as Republicans.
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10/24/2024
Is It Time to Reform the U.S. Campaign Finance System?
The explosion of super PAC spending in 2024 has created a political landscape where independent entities control a large portion of the electoral process, undermining traditional party roles. Election day operations, which once fell under the purview of party organizations and were subject to party discipline, are now often handled by super PACs and their allied organizations.
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10/24/2024
On This Day: Richard Nixon Agrees to Turn Over White House Tapes
On October 23, 1973, amid the intensifying Watergate scandal, President Richard Nixon made a momentous decision: he agreed to turn over White House tape recordings to Judge John Sirica. These tapes would become pivotal evidence in uncovering the truth about the break-in at the Democratic National Committee headquarters and the subsequent cover-up that would eventually lead to Nixon’s resignation. Nixon’s reluctant concession followed months of legal battles, public pressure, and a ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals, which forced the president to comply with a subpoena.
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10/24/2024
A Manufactured Crisis of Foreign Interference?
What is most troubling about Trump’s complaint is not the specifics of the Labour Party’s volunteer efforts but the broader implications for political discourse and international relations.
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10/24/2024
A Study in Electoral Dynamics
Should McCormick succeed in unseating Casey, it would serve as a clarion call to Democrats that their hold on Pennsylvania—and by extension, the industrial Midwest—is far from secure. It would also signal the continued viability of Trump’s political playbook, even in the face of growing resistance from suburban voters who have traditionally leaned Republican but turned against Trump in 2020.
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10/22/2024
On This Day: The Inauguration of Pope John Paul II and His Global Legacy
On October 22, 1978, Karol Józef Wojtyła was inaugurated as Pope John Paul II, becoming the 264th pontiff of the Roman Catholic Church. His election marked the first time in over 450 years that a non-Italian ascended to the papacy. More significantly, his papacy would become one of the most transformative in modern history, not only within the Church but also on the global stage, particularly in the context of the Cold War.
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10/22/2024
Yes, it's Illegal!
Under Section 10307(c) of Title 52 of the United States Code, it is a federal offense to "pay or offer to pay" any individual a "thing of value" for either registering to vote or voting.
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10/21/2024
At the Drive-Thru
Yes, the man who used to have private chefs and golden toilets found himself, for a brief moment, at the fry station of a McDonald’s drive-thru window.
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10/21/2024
The Mirage of Early Voting
The contrast between early voters and those planning to vote on Election Day reflects a stark and increasingly familiar divide in American electoral behavior.
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10/18/2024
On This Day: President Biden's Diplomatic Gamble in Tel Aviv
On October 18, 2023, President Joe Biden made a brief but significant visit to Tel Aviv, Israel, in the wake of escalating violence between Israel and Hamas. His trip, while expressing unwavering support for Israel's right to defend itself, also served as a delicate balancing act. Biden’s mission was twofold: to show solidarity with a key U.S. ally in the Middle East while also urging caution to avoid further escalation that could plunge the region into deeper chaos.
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Campaign Chronicle Logo Senate Ballot Box Scores
Arizona
Ruben Gallego
34.288
+9.011 over Kari Lake
Kari Lake
25.277
Pennsylvania
Bob Casey
36.593
+5.189 over David McCormick
David McCormick
31.404
Nevada
Jacky Rosen
34.989
+8.724 over Sam Brown
Sam Brown
26.265
Wisconsin
Tammy Baldwin
38.427
+10.932 over Eric Hovde
Eric Hovde
27.495
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