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06/11/2024
The Polls They Are A-Changin’ – If Only A Little
Ah, the polls! They're like the weather in New England: if you don't like them, just wait five minutes.
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06/06/2024
Trump v Biden Polling: Moving Average Margin Analysis
Step into the world of political polling with our latest analysis of the Trump vs. Biden race. We cut through the noise of individual polls to uncover the true trends in voter sentiment. Our moving average margin approach highlights the ebb and flow of support for each candidate over time, giving you a clear picture of the race dynamics. Join us for a data-driven journey that’s insightful, engaging, and a must-read for anyone following this crucial political battle.
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06/13/2024
2024 Senate Ballot Box Scores
In this political season, we've decided to have a bit of fun with the serious business of Senate races. Much like your favorite baseball stats, our Ballot Box Scores break down the key elements of each race: fundraising, cash on hand, polling data, and historical results. We promise no curveballs—just straight-up analysis to help you understand who's hitting home runs and who's striking out in the 2024 Senate races.
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05/29/2024
The Battle for Texas' 23rd: A Swing District Showdown with Implications for House Control
The Texas 23rd has long been a battleground, but this cycle is shaping up as a potentially pivotal race that could help determine control of the House of Representatives. This diverse southwest Texas district finds itself at the epicenter of a hard-fought campaign with major national implications.
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05/22/2024
Republicans Eye Prime Pickup Opportunity in CA-21
For the GOP, flipping California's 21st Congressional District is a top priority this cycle and a prime opportunity to fortify their House majority. The Central Valley seat has been a Republican stronghold for decades but flipped blue in 2018 amid changing demographics.
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05/22/2024
Could Lake Provide A Refreshing Change To Bidenomics?
If polls in the 2024 Presidential race indicate how Arizonans may vote down-ballot, Democrats could face an uphill battle in their bid for reelection. The RealClearPolitics Election 2024 average shows former President Donald Trump holds a +4.6 spread advantage over his political rival President Joe Biden. A CBS poll showed a similar divide with Trump leading by 5 points. 
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05/22/2024
Pennsylvania's Make-or-Break Senate Battle
In the fight for control of the U.S. Senate, all roads run through Pennsylvania in 2024. And former hedge fund CEO Dave McCormick is gearing up to lead the Republican charge to flip one of the nation's most pivotal seats.
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05/22/2024
The Supreme Court's Fate Hangs in Balance of the 2024 Election
As the 2024 presidential campaign kicks into high gear, the political tug-of-war over the ideological bent of the nation's highest court will be a crucial undercard attracting intense scrutiny. With several sitting justices of advanced age, the next president could have an unusually outsize impact on the Supreme Court's trajectory for decades to come.
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05/23/2024
GOP Primed for WV Senate Pickup with Jim Justice
For Republicans seeking to fortify their Senate majority in 2024, the open seat race in West Virginia presents a prime opportunity - and the NRSC has lined up a formidable recruit in Jim Justice.
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05/22/2024
MAGA Endorsed Moreno Savages One Of The "most vulnerable Democrats"
"We've lost 200,000 manufacturing jobs since Sherrod Brown's been in Washington, DC. This is a guy who has never had a job in the private sector."
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05/23/2024
North Carolina: The Swing State That Could Decide the 2024 Presidential Election
As the 2024 presidential election approaches, North Carolina is emerging as a pivotal battleground that could determine the outcome. Traditionally leaning Republican, the state's razor-thin margins in recent elections and its significant electoral vote count make it a key focus for both parties.
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05/23/2024
Just Weeks Before The Primary Some Wonder If Maine's King Will Be Deposed
As Maine’s June 11 primaries approach, three new challengers will face off against incumbent independent Angus King, who has yet to formally announce his reelection bid. 
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Campaign Chronicle Logo Senate Ballot Box Scores
Arizona
Ruben Gallego
34.288
+9.011 over Kari Lake
Kari Lake
25.277
Pennsylvania
Bob Casey
36.593
+5.189 over David McCormick
David McCormick
31.404
Nevada
Jacky Rosen
34.989
+8.724 over Sam Brown
Sam Brown
26.265
Wisconsin
Tammy Baldwin
38.427
+10.932 over Eric Hovde
Eric Hovde
27.495
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